We do know that Wilson does well under pressure, which means he’ll take on a team with a weak offensive line again . However, the team he played with couldn’t win in Seattle therefore, imagining it will work in Denver is a bit of an oversimplification.
In addition Denver’s pass defense is abysmal. They ranked last in Madden NFL 23 on the passing rush win rates, and 27th in stopping the run. The Broncos excel at throwing the ball after it’s up in the air, but stopping a play prior to it reaching that point can be difficult.
Also, we need to think about coaches. Tom Brady joined Bruce Arians an established name that has Super Bowl experience. Matthew Stafford went to the Rams which are managed by Sean McVay, another guy who has experience in making it through to the Super Bowl. Nathanial Hackett is an unproven, untested first-year head coach. Even if we assume Hackett is a top coach, there’s likely to be some time for the pieces to be synchronized
Honestly, it feels kind an lateral play. I know Broncos supporters won’t want hear about it, but that’s my opinion about the scenario. Both the Seahawks as well as the Broncos were teams with a 7-10 record last season. And sure, Seattle was 7-10 with Wilson as a player, whereas the Broncos were not — but let’s just be sincere: Wilson and Teddy Bridgewater were really, really alike last year.
The haul the Broncos are sending to Seattle is plenty to score seven touchdowns, and one less interception. The question is whether an extra 49 points will actually result in more wins in the column for Denver?
In the raw numbers, assuming Wilson will play similarly to 2021 then the Broncos would have their average scoring range from 19.7 to 22.5. In defense, they only allowed 18.9 in a game, meaning this small margin could be very significant -yet I’m having a very hard time being as bullish on the 2022 Broncos as the 2030 Buccaneers as well as the 2021 Rams.
Everything is in the right place and Denver could be a major force. I’d love to be wrong, because changing the playoff picture is a fantastic thing to see. At the moment, I think the it makes Denver an even better team in the short term, but not a favorite and they certainly put their future in the bank to bring it about.
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